The “In Probate” Process
[High Mortality – Low Inflation/Shortages]

In this scenario, many areas will struggle with high rates of disease and death. This puts an enormous strain on family time and finances, not to mention the personal grief and stress. Because inflation and shortages remain manageable, families and businesses have the ability to cope—but the strain will still be noticeable.

Given how the year has started off, we give this scenario a low probability. Price inflation is too high and much more likely to get higher than to go down.

Probability: 5%